How US market impact indian share market: तो आज का टॉपिक है कि अमेरिका का मार्केट किस तरह हमारे इंडियन शेेेयर मार्केट पर प्रभाव डालता है मतलब जब अमेरिका में कोई अच्छी या बुरी घटना होती है तो इसका डायरेक्ट असर हमारे शेेेेयर बाजार पर क्यों पड़ता है…
तो अगर आप इंडियन शेयर मार्केट में इन्वेस्ट करते हैं तो आपको अमेरिका के शेयर मार्केट के बारे में जानना बहुत जरूरी है क्योंकि कहीं ना कहीं रोज की तेजी और गिरावट के पीछे अमेरिका 🇱🇷 के मार्केट का बहुत बड़ा रोल होता है और ऐसा इसलिए है क्योंकि भारत ही नहीं बल्कि दुनिया के लगभग सभी देशों के शेयर मार्केट अमेरिका से जुड़े हुए हैं क्योंकि अमेरिकी शेयर मार्केट दुनिया का सबसे बड़ा मार्केट है।
तो चलिए अब आसान भाषा में समझते हैं कि आखिर क्यों और कैसे अमेरिकी स्टॉक मार्केट इंडियन मार्केट पर प्रभाव डालता है, साथ ही हम यह भी समझेंगे कि अमेरिका की बेंचमार्क indices जैसे dow jones, S&P500 और Nasdaq आदि का इंडिया के indices जैसे Nifty, sensex आदि पर क्या इंपैक्ट होता है. तो इस पोस्ट को अंत तक जरूर पढ़ना क्योंकि आज आप US stock market के indian market connection के बारे में बहुत कुछ सीखने वाले हैं।
अमेरिकन स्टॉक मार्केट का भारतीय शेयर बाजार पर प्रभाव
US stock market ka India ke share market par kaafi gehra asar padta hai. Dono markets interconnected hain, aur jab US market mein uthal-puthal hoti hai, to India ke market mein bhi is ka prabhav dekhne ko milta hai.
Ye prabhav alag-alag tareeke se ho sakta hai, jaise sentiments, foreign investments (FII inflow/outflow), currency exchange rate, aur global trade ke through.
Aayiye, isse kuch examples ke sath samajhte hain:
1. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) ka Asar
FIIs yani Foreign Institutional Investors US jaise bade markets se hote hain jo India mein invest karte hain.
Jab US stock market mein tezi hoti hai, to FIIs zyada risk lene ke liye tayaar hote hain aur developing markets jaise India mein zyada paisa lagate hain.
Is se Indian stock market mein liquidity badhti hai aur tezi 📈 aati hai.
Lekin agar US market girta hai ya wahan recession ka khauf hota hai, to FIIs apna paisa India jaise markets se nikal kar wapas US mein daalne lagte hain, jisse Indian market mein giravat dekhne ko milti hai.
**Example**: 2008 ke financial crisis ke dauran, jab US stock market crash hua, to FIIs ne apna paisa emerging markets, jaise India se nikalna shuru kiya. Is se Indian stock market bhi gir gaya.
2. Market Sentiment aur Global Risk
US market duniya ka sabse bada aur stable market mana jata hai. Jab US market girta hai, to global investors ke sentiments par negative asar padta hai.
Investors ko lagta hai ki agar US economy weak ho gayi, to global economy bhi weak hogi, kyunki US kaafi badi economy hai.
Is wajah se India jaise markets mein bhi negativity aati hai aur stocks girne lagte hain.
**Example**: Jab US Federal Reserve apne interest rates ko badhata hai, to investors ko lagta hai ki global economy par iska bura asar padega. 2022 mein jab US Fed ne aggressively interest rates badhaye, to Indian market mein bhi giravat dekhi gayi kyunki investors ko laga ki is se global slowdown hoga.
3. Dollar-Rupee Exchange Rate
US market ke movements se dollar ke value par bhi asar padta hai. Jab US market strong hota hai, to dollar ki demand badhti hai aur dollar ke comparison mein Indian rupee weak ho jata hai.
Weak rupee ka matlab hai ki India ki import cost badh jaati hai, jo Indian companies ke profits ko impact karta hai. Yeh market ke liye negative signal hota hai aur Indian stocks girne lagte hain.
**Example**: Agar crude oil ka price badhta hai aur US market ke strong hone se dollar bhi strong ho jata hai, to India ko zyada mehnga oil import karna padta hai. Is se oil import companies (jaise oil refineries) ka profit margin kam ho jata hai, aur in stocks mein giravat dekhne ko milti hai.
4. Tech Sector ka Asar
US mein kaafi badi technology companies hain, aur inki performance global tech sector par asar dalti hai.
India mein bhi IT aur tech sector kaafi bada hai. Agar US market mein tech companies, jaise Apple, Microsoft, Google, achha perform kar rahi hain, to Indian IT companies, jaise TCS, Infosys, Wipro, ko bhi fayda hota hai, kyunki inka major business US se aata hai.
Lekin agar US tech market girta hai, to Indian IT companies ke stocks par bhi negative impact padta hai.
**Example**: Agar US companies apne IT budgets ko cut karte hain recession ke dar se, to Indian IT companies ke contracts aur revenue kam ho sakte hain, jisse inke stocks bhi girte hain.
5. Commodity Prices aur Inflation
US market ke girne ya badhne se global commodity prices par bhi asar padta hai, jaise crude oil, metals, etc. Jab US market stable hota hai, to commodity prices bhi stable rehti hain.
Lekin agar US market collapse hota hai, to global demand girne ka dar hota hai, jo commodity prices ko bhi niche le aata hai.
Agar commodity prices girti hain, to India jaise importing countries ko faayda hota hai. Lekin agar US inflation ke wajah se Fed interest rates badhata hai, to global markets aur commodities dono par bura asar padta hai.
**Example**: 2020 ke COVID-19 pandemic ke dauran jab US market down gaya, tab crude oil prices bhi crash ho gaye. Is se India ko sasta oil import karne ka faayda mila, lekin overall market sentiments negative rahe.
Yeh saare factors dikhate hain ki kaise US stock market ke movements ka direct aur indirect impact Indian stock market par padta hai. Globalisation ke era mein, dono markets ka ek doosre se juda rehna natural hai.
अब यह तो बात हो गई कि इंडियन मार्केट पर अमेरिका का शेयर मार्केट कैसे और किन-किन माध्यम से असर डालता है लेकिन अभी भी कुछ लोगों के मन में कुछ बेसिक सवाल जरूर होंगे जिनका जवाब नीचे दिया गया है–
सबसे पहला सवाल होता है कि;
US stock Market ke kaun se indices Indian share market per kaise impact dalte hain matlab America ka Dow Jones, NASDAQ, S&P500 etc yah sab Indian stock market ki benchmark and indices Nifty 50 aurSensex per kaise impact dalte Hain aur kyu?
Which US indices affect the Indian market?
US stock market ke indices jaise Dow Jones, NASDAQ, aur S&P 500 ka Indian stock market ke benchmark indices jaise Nifty aur Sensex par kaafi asar padta hai.
In US indices ke movements ko global markets closely follow karte hain, kyunki US duniya ki sabse badi economy hai aur in indices mein listed companies kaafi badi aur influential hoti hain.
Aayiye, detail mein samajhte hain kaise Dow Jones, NASDAQ, aur S&P 500 jaise US indices Indian stock market par asar daalte hain.
1. Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) ka Impact
Dow Jones US ka ek famous stock market index hai, jo 30 major industrial companies ke stocks ko track karta hai.
Jab Dow Jones girta hai ya badhta hai, to global market participants, including India ke investors, ise ek signal ke roop mein dekhte hain ki US economy kaisa perform kar rahi hai.
Dow Jones ka zyadatar impact “sentiment-driven” hota hai.
Agar Dow Jones girta hai, to global investors ko lagta hai ki US economy slow ho rahi hai, jo poori duniya ki economy ko effect kar sakta hai. Is dar se, investors risky assets (jaise stocks) bechne lagte hain, aur India ke Sensex aur Nifty bhi girne lagte hain.
**Example**: March 2020 mein COVID-19 ke shuruaati dino mein jab Dow Jones kaafi zyada gira, to us din Indian stock market mein bhi Sensex aur Nifty lagbhag 10-12% tak gir gaye. Is girawat ka ek major reason panic tha, jo Dow Jones ki girawat ke baad duniya bhar mein fail gaya tha.
2. NASDAQ ka Impact
NASDAQ ek US-based index hai jo primarily technology companies ko track karta hai, jaise Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Facebook, aur Google.
NASDAQ ka asar Indian IT aur tech stocks par directly hota hai. Jab NASDAQ girta hai, iska matlab hota hai ki tech sector mein issues hain, aur isse global tech stocks including Indian IT stocks par pressure aata hai.
Indian IT companies jaise TCS, Infosys, Wipro ka business kaafi had tak US-based clients par depend karta hai.
Jab US tech companies ka revenue ya profits impact hote hain, to in Indian IT companies ke contracts bhi asar mein aate hain, jisse inke stocks girte hain.
**Example**: 2022 mein jab US Federal Reserve ne interest rates badhane ki baat ki, to NASDAQ kaafi zyada gira kyunki high interest rates ka tech companies ke valuations par negative impact hota hai. Iska impact Indian IT stocks par bhi pada, aur us samay Nifty IT index ne kaafi girawat dekhi, especially Infosys aur TCS jaise bade players ke stocks niche aaye.
3. S&P 500 ka Impact
S&P 500 US ka ek broad market index hai jo 500 badi publicly traded US companies ko represent karta hai.
Is index ka global economy aur financial markets par strong asar hota hai kyunki isme multiple sectors (tech, healthcare, finance, energy) ki badi companies include hoti hain.
Jab S&P 500 girta hai, to iska matlab hota hai ki US market mein widespread weakness hai, jo global investors ke liye ek negative signal hota hai.
S&P 500 ke girne se Indian market par bhi negative sentiment spread hota hai, aur Sensex aur Nifty mein bhi selling pressure dekhne ko milta hai.
Investors apne funds ko riskier markets se nikal kar safer assets (jaise gold ya bonds) mein shift karte hain, jisse Indian stock market down jata hai.
**Example**: October 2021 mein jab S&P 500 mein weakness aayi due to inflation concerns aur US Fed ke hawkish stance ke karan, to Indian markets ne bhi choppy trading experience kiya. Nifty 50 aur Sensex dono mein volatility dekhi gayi, aur FIIs ne large-scale selling ki.
Yeh sab Indian market ko kaise impact karte hain?
1. Sentiment aur Market Psychology
US stock markets ke indices, jaise Dow Jones, NASDAQ, aur S&P 500, ko global investors closely dekhte hain.
Jab in indices mein tezi hoti hai, to ye signal hota hai ki global economy theek chal rahi hai, jisse Indian stock market mein bhi tezi dekhi ja sakti hai. Lekin jab in indices mein girawat hoti hai, to global investors cautious ho jate hain, aur Indian markets mein bhi bearish sentiments aa jate hain.
2. Foreign Institutional Investment (FII) ka Flow
US market ke indices jab girte hain, to foreign institutional investors (FIIs) apna paisa India jaise emerging markets se nikalne lagte hain aur US ke safer assets (jaise bonds) mein dalte hain. Jab FIIs Indian stocks bechte hain, to Indian market mein bhi girawat aati hai.
3. Currency Exchange Rate ka Impact
Jab US stock market weak hota hai, to dollar ki value fluctuate karti hai. Dollar ke majboot hone par rupee kamzor hota hai, jisse Indian companies ko import cost zyada padta hai aur unke profits par asar padta hai. Is wajah se bhi Indian stock market girta hai.
4. Tech aur IT sector ka Direct Asar
US ke NASDAQ ka impact Indian IT aur tech companies par directly hota hai. US tech sector ke performance ka seedha asar Indian IT firms ke revenues par padta hai, kyunki inka major business US se aata hai. Jab NASDAQ weak hota hai, to Indian tech stocks bhi girte hain.
Conclusion
US stock market ke indices, jaise Dow Jones, NASDAQ, aur S&P 500, Indian markets par sentiments, FIIs flow, currency movement, aur specific sectors ke through asar daalte hain. In indices ke movements ko closely follow karna zaroori hai kyunki ye Indian stock market ke direction ko significantly influence karte hain.
Kya US recession Indian stock market ko effect karta hai?
Haan, US recession Indian stock market ko significant tareeke se effect karta hai. Jab US mein recession hota hai, to global economy slow down hoti hai, jiska direct aur indirect impact India par padta hai. Chaliye, short mein samajhte hain kaise:
1. Foreign Investment ka Bahar Jana (FII Outflow):
US recession ke dauran global investors apne funds ko safe assets (jaise US bonds) mein dalte hain aur emerging markets (jaise India) se paisa nikalna shuru karte hain. Is se Indian stock market mein selling pressure aata hai, aur stocks girne lagte hain.
**Example**: 2008 ke global financial crisis ke dauran, jab US recession mein gaya, to Indian markets ne bhi major correction dekha. Sensex lagbhag 50% tak gir gaya kyunki FIIs ne large-scale selling ki.
2. Export aur IT Sector Par Asar:
US recession ke dauran wahan ke companies apne IT aur outsourcing budgets ko cut kar deti hain. India ke IT sector ka major revenue US se aata hai, isliye recession se Indian IT companies ke profits aur contracts par asar padta hai.
**Example**: 2020 ke COVID-19 ke baad jab US mein economic slowdown aaya, tab Infosys aur TCS jaise bade Indian IT companies ke revenues par negative impact pada kyunki clients ne projects postpone kar diye.
3. Global Trade aur Demand:
US recession ke dauran global demand girti hai, jisse India ki export-oriented industries (jaise textiles, pharmaceuticals) ko bhi nuksan hota hai. Is se Indian stock market mein negative sentiment spread hota hai.
**Example**: 2022 mein US recession fears ke chalte metals aur other export-heavy sectors ke stocks mein girawat dekhi gayi, kyunki global demand ke kam hone ka dar tha.
कहने का मतलब यह है कि–
US recession ka impact Indian stock market par foreign investment ke outflow, IT sector ke profits, aur global trade slowdown ke roop mein dekhne ko milta hai, jisse Indian markets mein girawat hoti hai.
उम्मीद करता हूं आपको इस आर्टिकल से अमेरिका के शेयर मार्केट का इंडियन मार्केट पर क्या ओर कैसे प्रभाव पड़ता है इसके बारे में बहुत कुछ सीखने को मिला होगा. इस पोस्ट में हमने आपको उदाहरण के साथ बिल्कुल आसान भाषा में समझाया है कि अमेरिकन मार्केट कैसे और कब भारतीय शेयर बाजार को प्रभावित करता है.
