जानिए इस हफ्ते स्टॉक मार्केट में क्या होगा, कौन-कौन से बड़े इवेंट और न्यूज़ हैं जिसके चलते शेयर बाजार में भयंकर उथल-पुथल होने वाली है!
Yeh hafta Indian stock market investors ke liye kaafi important rehne wala hai. Global aur domestic level par kuch aise events hone wale hain jo market ko hilaa sakte hain. Market iss hafte pure paanch din khulne wala hai, isliye yeh hafta poore attention ke saath dekhna hoga.
Aayiye, ek-ek karke in events ka market par kya asar ho sakta hai, uspar nazar daalte hain.
Kal, yani 14 October ko, India ka inflation data aane wala hai jiski expectation 5% ke aaspaas ja rahi hai, jabki pichle mahine yeh 3.65% tha.
Agar inflation 5% se zyada aata hai, toh market mein girawat aa sakti hai kyunki zyada inflation ka matlab RBI ko interest rate badhane ki zarurat pad sakti hai.
High interest rates businesses ke liye borrowing mehngi kar dete hain, jo market ke liye negative hota hai.
Agar inflation 5% se kam aata hai, toh yeh market ke liye positive news hogi kyunki iska matlab hoga ki economy stable hai aur rate hike ka risk kam hai.
Pichle hafte, US ka inflation data aaya tha jiska impact global markets par dekhne ko mila tha, isliye India ka inflation data bhi equally important hoga.
2. WPI Data ka Impact
WPI data bhi kal hi release hoga. Iska estimate 1.90% lagaya ja raha hai, jabki pichhle mahine yeh 1.31% tha.
WPI, wholesale inflation ko dikhata hai aur yeh data industries ke cost pressure ko indicate karta hai.
Agar yeh data expected se zyada aata hai, toh manufacturing sectors par negative impact ho sakta hai, jo ki overall market ke sentiment ko down kar sakta hai.
3. Hyundai ka IPO – Market Par Kya Hoga Asar?
Hyundai ka 27,500 crore ka IPO bhi iss hafte aane wala hai.
IPOs aksar market mein liquidity ko draw karte hain, kyunki investors apna paisa IPO mein dalne ke liye existing stocks bechna shuru kar dete hain.
Is IPO ka size kaafi bada hai, isliye market mein short-term volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai.
4. China ka Stimulus Package aur India ke Market Par Impact
China ke economy ko revive karne ke liye wahan ki government ne ek bada stimulus package announce kiya tha.
Stimulus ke baad China ke stock markets mein tezi dekhne ko mili aur FIIs ne apna paisa India se nikal kar China mein invest karna shuru kar diya tha.
Iss hafte ek aur badi khabar ye hai ki China ke investors wahan 283 billion dollars ka naya investment expect kar rahe hain.
Agar China ke stocks bhagte hain, toh ho sakta hai ki FIIs India se aur paisa nikal kar China mein lagaye, jiska Indian market par negative impact ho sakta hai.
Lekin, agar China ka growth stable nahi hota, toh FIIs wapas India ka rukh kar sakte hain.
5. Q2 Results Season – Market Ka Focus
Iss hafte market ka focus Q2 results par hoga. Agar companies ke results ache aate hain, toh market mein tezi dekhne ko mil sakti hai.
Lekin agar results weak aate hain, toh market gir sakta hai.
Pichle hafte humne dekha ki TCS ke results se Nifty IT par kaafi impact pada tha, aur iss mahine Reliance ke results bhi announce hone wale hain.
Reliance ka Nifty 50 mein sabse bada weightage hai, toh iske numbers ka asar pure market par dekhne ko mil sakta hai.
D-Mart ke kharab numbers ke baad dekhna hoga ki stock kaise react karta hai. Q2 results ka ye period short-term mein market ki direction ko tay karega.
6. SEBI ki F&O Expiry Mein Badlav
SEBI ne F&O contracts ki weekly expiry ko change kar diya hai aur ab monthly expiry par shift kiya ja raha hai. Iska impact primarily traders par hoga, jo weekly expiry ke liye apni positions rakhte the.
Traders ke behavior par iska kaafi farak pad sakta hai, aur market mein volatility increase ho sakti hai jab tak ye changes poori tarah implement nahi ho jate.
SEBI ke naye rules ka actual implementation 20 November se start hoga, lekin traders abhi se isko le kar cautious reh sakte hain.
7. Iran-Israel Conflict – Global Uncertainty aur Crude Oil ka Impact
Iran aur Israel ke beech chal raha yuddh ab tak khatam nahi hua hai. Jab tak ye conflict chalta rahega, market mein uncertainty bani rahegi.
Is conflict ka crude oil prices par directly asar padta hai, aur India jo crude oil import karta hai, uski economy par bhi iska impact hota hai.
Agar oil prices aur badhte hain, toh Indian economy ka current account deficit badh sakta hai, jo market ke liye negative hoga.
8. FII-DII Activity – Market Ki Direction
Is mahine FIIs lagatar India se paisa nikal rahe hain, is wajah se market gir raha hai.
DII (domestic institutional investors) buying kar rahe hain, lekin FIIs ka volume zyada hai isliye market under pressure hai.
Jab tak FIIs wapas buying mode mein nahi aate, market mein strong reversal dekhna mushkil hai.
China ki developments par nazar rakhna important hoga, kyunki agar wahan ke markets stable hote hain, toh ho sakta hai FIIs India se aur paisa nikaale.
Conclusion:
Yeh hafta kaafi events se bhara hua hai jinka market par directly asar pad sakta hai. Inflation data se lekar Q2 results tak, aur China ke developments se lekar FIIs ki activity tak, sab kuch market ki direction ko tay karega. Investors ko iss hafte apni positions par kaafi dhyaan dena hoga aur global trends ko nazar mein rakhna hoga.
